Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.044396 0.052285 0.061112 0.071713 0.084094 0.098090 0.115108
2025-07-13 0.032749 0.043106 0.055980 0.073126 0.095334 0.123101 0.160434
2025-07-20 0.025649 0.036811 0.051861 0.073568 0.104010 0.145111 0.204757
2025-07-27 0.021005 0.032388 0.048804 0.074089 0.111936 0.166348 0.250374
2025-08-03 0.017832 0.029263 0.046736 0.075223 0.120320 0.188740 0.300165
2025-08-10 0.015693 0.027224 0.045792 0.077626 0.130588 0.214846 0.358641
2025-08-17 0.013057 0.023861 0.042119 0.074928 0.132086 0.227106 0.396432
2025-08-24 0.011355 0.021768 0.040167 0.074683 0.137404 0.245938 0.447109
2025-08-31 0.009846 0.019748 0.037994 0.073638 0.141021 0.262084 0.494884
2025-09-07 0.008926 0.018673 0.037346 0.075222 0.149491 0.287628 0.562417
2025-09-14 0.007873 0.017154 0.035620 0.074454 0.153334 0.305014 0.616708
2025-09-21 0.006861 0.015552 0.033483 0.072535 0.154591 0.317505 0.662889
2025-09-28 0.005925 0.013974 0.031200 0.070061 0.154537 0.327709 0.706458
2025-10-05 0.005443 0.013327 0.030792 0.071513 0.162900 0.355929 0.790575
2025-10-12 0.004941 0.012551 0.029985 0.071961 0.169130 0.380423 0.869808
2025-10-19 0.004506 0.011858 0.029259 0.072474 0.175544 0.406015 0.954481
2025-10-26 0.004158 0.011323 0.028819 0.073585 0.183453 0.435786 1.052033
2025-11-02 0.003916 0.011020 0.028891 0.075937 0.194592 0.474121 1.173793
2025-11-09 0.003439 0.010011 0.027064 0.073296 0.193228 0.483269 1.227871
2025-11-16 0.003135 0.009422 0.026223 0.073056 0.197815 0.507072 1.320152
2025-11-23 0.002830 0.008780 0.025146 0.072033 0.200247 0.525873 1.402259
2025-11-30 0.002661 0.008506 0.025025 0.073584 0.209652 0.563145 1.535525
2025-12-07 0.002421 0.007979 0.024124 0.072832 0.212740 0.584627 1.630388